Market Conditions: Luxury Rental Rates Hit New Record in Q1 But 5,000+ Apartments Still To Come
Crain’s is reporting that rental rates on Class A buildings in downtown Chicago hit a new record high of $2.63 a square foot in the first quarter of this year.
Class A buildings are the luxury apartment towers like The Streeter.
For example, the rent on a 700-square foot 1-bedroom apartment would be $1841 a month in a Class A building.
But as many renters get priced out of that price range, they are trading down to Class B buildings. That has meant greater demand at that level, which has also pushed those prices up to a record of $2.32 a square foot.
That same 700 square foot apartment in a Class B building would rent for $1624 a month.
Occupancy is high in the Class A buildings. It ran at 95.3% in the first quarter.
Yet supply will soon catch up with demand and could, some fear, even exceed it. A construction wave will add seven new high-rises totaling 2,895 apartments to the downtown market this year, with another 2,330 units to be completed in 2014, according to Appraisal Research.
Most observers agree that the new supply will make it harder for landlords to hike rents. In a best-case scenario, rent growth will only taper off; in the worst, rents will fall as competition for tenants intensifies.
“Right now is a great time to be leasing up a building,” said Appraisal Research Vice President Ron DeVries. “The question is what happens August, September, when we start to hit the fall.”
But Mr. DeVries doesn’t expect trouble, predicting rents will rise about 4 percent to 5 percent in the 12 months through March 31.
Yet according to Appraisal Research, the market has only absorbed an average of 1540 units a year over the last 3 years. Nearly double that is expected to be completed this year.
There are also a significant number of projects in the works, although many may not obtain financing. And some will be in the neighborhoods like Lakeview or Bucktown.
The hot market has attracted a mob of other developers trying to get in on the fun. Beyond projects already under way, 26 developments comprising 6,292 apartments are in the works in greater downtown, according to a partial list compiled by Appraisal Research. Of course, the number of completed projects will be much lower because many developers will never secure financing to break ground.
The list of expected buildings includes the Residences at Wolf Point, a 507-unit building on Wolf Point being developed by a joint venture of Hines Interests L.P., the Kennedy family and Magellan Development Group LLC. The venture already has lined up financing for the $153-million tower from the AFL-CIO Building Investment Trust and Bank of America Corp., said Greg Van Schaack, Hines senior vice president. He expects to break ground sometime this summer.
Is there any danger that the apartment market will be overbuilt?
And if they do so, can’t they just convert buildings into condos, where demand seems to be strengthening rather quickly?
Downtown apartment rents hit new high, but supply surge to come [Crain’s Chicago Business, Alby Gallun, May 20, 2013]




