The Biggest Story of 2011: Will the Chicago Housing Market Finally Bottom in 2011?
We’ve never had a post on Crib Chatter where we’ve actually debated when the “bottom” will get here.
So we must be closer to it than any other time in the last 3 years since it’s now being discussed.
I’ve seen some housing analysts predicting a bottoming in prices, nationally, by the summer. But that was before the dismal October Case Shiller data was released which shows the likelihood of a double dip.
With lending still tight is it even possible to talk about a bottom?
What about the impact of foreclosures? Nearly 40% of current sales in Chicago are a distressed sale (either short sale or foreclosure.)
Does the bottom mean capitulation?
How much lower will prices have to go before we reach “the bottom?”
For those of you on the sidelines waiting for “the bottom”- how will you know it when we hit it? Rental parity? Cheaper than renting?
There are several wildcards in the quest for a bottom including:
- Unemployment remains above 9% in the Chicagoland area
- Mortgage rates are slowly rising
- Possible tinkering by Washington with Fannie/Freddie/FHA
Will 2011 be the year when the market finally stabilizes?









