Market Conditions: Chicago Inventory Falls Another 8.5% in July 2024 As Sales Rise 5.3%
The biggest story with Chicago housing in 2024 hasn’t been the slow sales, but the inventory decline. In July 2024, inventory dropped again, even as it rose statewide.
From the Illinois Association of Realtors:
The city of Chicago saw a 5.3 percent year-over-year home sales increase in July 2024 with 2,161 sales, up from 2,052 in July 2023. The median price of a home in the city of Chicago in July 2024 was $360,000, an increase of 5.9 percent from July 2023 when it was $340,000.
Here’s the July data since 1997 (thanks, once again, to G for the historic info):
- 1997: 1,694
- 1998: 2,139
- 1999: 2,186
- 2000: 2,013
- 2001: 2,410
- 2002: 2,661
- 2003: 3,105
- 2004: 3,429
- 2005: 3,487
- 2006: 3,088
- 2007: 2,819
- 2008: 2,200
- 2009: 2,040
- 2010: 1,631
- 2011: 1,666
- 2012: 2,088
- 2013: 2,902
- 2014: 2,725
- 2015: 3,082
- 2016: 2,780
- 2017: 2,698
- 2018: 2,803
- 2019: 2,708
- 2020: 2,793
- 2021: 3,350
- 2022: 2,481
- 2023: 2,052
- 2024: 2,161
While sales rose, they still remain near levels last seen in 2012 which was still during the housing bust.
“Closed sales and median sales price increased in July, which is indicative of the summer market,” Erika Villegas, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and broker and owner of RE/MAX In the Village said. “Potential sellers should talk to a REALTOR® to determine the right time to get into the market.”
Statewide inventory was up 6.3% to 20,718 from 19,494 properties last year.
But in Chicago, it fell again, declining 8.5% to 4,955 properties from 5,415 homes in July 2023.
“Our housing market forecast highlights how sales activity and house prices are expected to decline in the coming months following typical seasonal trends,” said Geoff Smith, Executive Director, Institute for Housing Studies at DePaul University in Chicago.
“In July, inventories slightly increased statewide and in the Chicago Metro Area but declined in the City of Chicago. Inventories remained near historic lows and suggest that the market will continue to be highly competitive and challenging for homebuyers. Our forecast estimates that the coming three months will have slightly lower levels of sales activity, but higher prices compared to 2023.”
The Chicago inventory decline over the last 4 years:
- 2021: 9392
- 2022: 8238
- 2023: 5415
- 2024: 4955
Days on the market in Chicago remained unchanged at 28 days.
The 30-year fixed rate mortgage averaged 6.84%, down from 6.92% in June 2024 but at the same level as last July.
Median price was at new highs at $360,000 with single family homes up 11.9% to $350,000 and condos up 2.7% to $374,848.
The low inventory issue has apparently continued into August. Just taking a quick look at some of the GreenZone neighborhoods on Redfin (these are active properties only):
- Lincoln Park = 185
- Lakeview = 210
- Bucktown = 66
- River North = 345
- Streeterville = 317
- West Loop = 141
- Logan Square (now in the GreenZone?) = 119
Fall is usually when inventory falls. Will it set another new low later this year?
Illinois home sales, inventory and median prices increase in July [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, August 22, 2024]