Market Conditions: May Sales Continue to Slow as Median Price Jumps 8.1%
The Illinois Association of Realtors is out with the May 2024 home sales data.
Sales remain low in Chicago as inventory continues to decline. It was the slowest May since May 2020, which was impacted by the covid pandemic.
However, with such a tight market, median price is still on the rise. But note, that median is determined by the mix of the sales.
The city of Chicago saw a 2.4 percent year-over-year home sales decrease in May 2024 with 2,404 sales, down from 2,462 in May 2023. The median price of a home in the city of Chicago in May 2024 was $362,000, up 8.1 percent from May 2023 when it was $335,000.
May Sales:
- May 2008: 2119 sales
- May 2009: 1557 sales
- May 2010: 2057 sales
- May 2011: 1705 sales
- May 2012: 2037 sales
- May 2013: 2834 sales
- May 2014: 2453 sales
- May 2015: 2750 sales
- May 2016: 2980 sales
- May 2017: 3046 sales
- May 2018: 3047 sales
- May 2019: 2952 sales
- May 2020: 1701 sales
- May 2021: 3453 sales
- May 2022: 3374 sales
- May 2023: 2462 sales
- May 2024: 2404 sales
Median Price Data:
- May 2008: $319,500
- May 2009: $225,000
- May 2010: $230,000
- May 2011: $190,000
- May 2012: $203,000
- May 2013: $234,000
- May 2014: $269,250
- May 2015: $281,000
- May 2016: $290,750
- May 2017: $305,600
- May 2018: $305,000
- May 2019: $315,000
- May 2020: $313,000
- May 2021: $350,000
- May 2022: $350,500
- May 2023: $335,000
- May 2024: $362,000
“In May, we saw closed sales and days on market decrease while median sales price increased,” Erika Villegas, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and broker and owner of RE/MAX In the Village said. “Sellers should work with their REALTORS® to be prepared for a quick sale and buyers should get the ball rolling sooner rather than later as sales prices drift upwards. If you haven’t already, now is the time to talk to a REALTOR® to start exploring your options.”
For the first time in several years, statewide inventory actual rose year-over-year. It rose 2.1% to 18,295 from 17,925 in May 2023.
Is this a sign that inventory has finally bottomed?
In Chicago, however, inventory fell again. It declined 5.2% to 4,808 from 5,073 last year. For comparison:
- May 2019: 10,096
- May 2022: 7,115
- May 2023: 5.073
- May 2024: 4,808
The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage was up from April to 7.06% from 6.99%. It was also higher than a year ago when it was 6.43%.
It’s been pretty clear that any time the mortgage rate is above 7%, sales slow.
“Prices and the number of sales continued to increase during May,” said Dr. Daniel McMillen, Professor of Real Estate and Associate Dean for Faculty Affairs at the University of Illinois-Chicago College of Business Administration. “Our forecasts indicate that prices will begin their typical seasonal decline over the next three months. The number of sales is forecast to decline also. Surveys provide a mixed picture of the state of consumer confidence in the economy, despite low unemployment rates and significant declines in the rate of inflation.”
In May, days on the market actually declined 20.6% to 27 days from 34 days last year as buyers moved quickly to purchase once a new property was listed.
The spring market remained tight but now that summer is here, is it finally loosening?
Illinois home sales increased in May as the number of available homes rose [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, by Bill Kozar, June 21, 2024]