Market Conditions: Hottest September Sales in 14 Years as Pandemic Boost Continues
The September housing data is out.
Last year’s September was the slowest in 8 years so it’s not a surprise that 2020 saw a rebound.
However, the hot pandemic market from the summer looks to be continuing into the fall as sales were the highest in 14 years, and that includes the 2007 “housing bubble” market.
The city of Chicago saw year-over-year home sales increase 28.1 percent with 2,570 sales in September, compared to 2,006 a year ago. The median price of a home in the city of Chicago in September was $322,500, up 10.4 percent from September 2019.
September sales for the last 14 years:
- 2007: 2172 sales
- 2008: 1816 sales
- 2009: 1918 sales
- 2010: 1403 sales
- 2011: 1498 sales
- 2012: 1845 sales
- 2013: 2395 sales
- 2014: 2242 sales
- 2015: 2414 sales
- 2016: 2398 sales
- 2017: 2355 sales
- 2018: 2040 sales
- 2019: 2006 sales
- 2020: 2570 sales
Median prices for the last 14 years:
- 2007: $267,750
- 2008: $268,600
- 2009: $225,000
- 2010: $180,000
- 2011: $190,000
- 2012: $188,900
- 2013: $230,000
- 2014: $249,000
- 2015: $250,000
- 2016: $260,000
- 2017: $275,000
- 2018: $285,000
- 2019: $292,250
- 2020: $322,500
“Continuing a three-month trend, both the Illinois and Chicago area housing markets recorded positive year-over-year increases in both prices and sales,” said Geoffrey J.D. Hewings, emeritus director of the Regional Economics Applications Laboratory at the University of Illinois. “Two concerns are the continuing low inventory problem and the increase in the number of serious delinquencies. While the former issue is having a significant impact on upward price movements, the delinquency problem in combination with increases in the number of long-term unemployed may dampen demand in 2021.”
Statewide, inventory fell 35.8% to 40,047 properties from 62,406 properties a year ago.
In Chicago, however, inventory was up 1.9% year-over-year to 10,661 from 10,467 a year ago.
The 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell again, to an average of 2.89% in September from 2.94% in August. It was 3.61% in September 2019.
“With continued record low interest rates, we’re still seeing an increase in demand on properties as indicated in the 28.1 percent increase in closed sales and 10.4 percent increase in median sales price,” said Nykea Pippion McGriff, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and vice president of brokerage services of Coldwell Banker Realty. “Buyers are capitalizing on the market and acting quickly, especially for well-priced properties.”
Single family homes sales in Chicago soared 30% in the month to 1,075 while condos sales were up a healthy 26.8% to 1495.
The price pressures appear to be mostly on the single family home side, however, as single family median price was up 21.6% year-over-year to $297,950 while condos were up just 0.3% to $335,750.
Again, keep in mind, that median is determined by the mix of the sales.
Year-to-date, Chicago sales are still down 7% compared to last year at 19,121 versus 20,569 in September 2019.
But the “spring” buying season was interrupted and has been pushed to the summer and fall.
What will be the key factors that could trip up this housing boom into 2021?
- Low inventory?
- Rising mortgage rates?
- High unemployment/slow recovery?
- No vaccine?
Illinois housing market continued to bounce back in September with a surge in home sales and higher median prices [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, October 22, 2020]









