Market Conditions: Chicago October Sales Fall For the Second Year in a Row
For the second year in a row, October sales fell year over year.
From the Illinois Association of Realtors:
The city of Chicago saw sales of 2,109 homes in October 2015, down 0.9 percent from last year when 2,128 homes were sold. The median price of a home in Chicago was $240,000, up 1.7 percent over October 2014 when the median price was $236,000.
Thanks to G for all the data on October sales going back to 1997:
October Chicago sfh/condo/th sales and median
- 1997 1,731 $129,900
- 1998 1,855 $138,000
- 1999 1,978 $159,500
- 2000 2,106 $174,710
- 2001 2,177 $200,000
- 2002 2,503 $215,000
- 2003 2,996 $236,000
- 2004 2,651 $241,000
- 2005 2,846 $268,500
- 2006 2,630 $278,000
- 2007 2,007 $285,000
- 2008 1,564 $261,000
- 2009 2,068 $215,000
- 2010 1,225 $183,000
- 2011 1,324 $162,000 (44% short/REO sales)
- 2012 2,009 $175,000
- 2013: 2,231 $218,500
- 2014: 2,128 $236,000
- 2015: 2,109 $240,000
“The start of the final quarter of the year was marked by plunging inventories, and that’s having a corresponding impact on sales and prices,” said Dan Wagner, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and senior vice president for government relations for the Inland Real Estate Group. “What’s crystal clear is there is still very keen interest in buying this late in the selling season, and there’s no indication that the zeal to own a home is diminishing.”
“The housing market appears to have returned to its longer-run annual pattern,” said Geoffrey J.D. Hewings, director of the Regional Economics Applications Laboratory at the University of Illinois. “Distressed housing sales have declined to levels last seen in 2009 as prices continue to move upwards at modest rates. The consumer sentiment indices are once again moving in opposite directions suggesting that there is uncertainty in the way consumers view future prospects.”
30-year mortgage rates averaged 3.78%, well below October 2014’s average of 4.03%.
Inventories didn’t only drop in Chicago and the Chicagoland area. Nationwide, inventories of existing homes also fell in October year over year.
It’s unusual to see both falling sales and falling inventories in the same month. Usually, fewer sales means MORE listings, not less.
The tight inventory probably means prices will continue to rise heading into 2016.
Why aren’t Americans moving?
Will this be a real problem with the spring market?
Illinois home prices climb in October; Sales lower amid tighter inventory [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, Nov 23, 2015]










