Market Conditions: New Condo Towers Coming Soon- But How Soon?
Crain’s has picked up on a theme we’ve been chattering about here in the last few months.
Inventory of new construction condos, outside of the luxury towers at the Ritz and 2550 N. Lakeview, are almost non-existent. Anything that IS on the market at lower price points, such as in the newly reconfigured Related buildings in the South Loop, are selling like hotcakes.
Demand is there.
Downtown developers are getting ready to bet on renewed demand to live in the center of the city, driven in part by a steady migration of large employers to the central business district from the suburbs.
While the ingredients are there for someone to launch a major project, the fragile recovery isn’t likely to support a second or third tower right away.
“The reason to be first is while you’re out there . . . there’s no competition,” says David Carlins, president of Magellan Development Group LLC, based in Chicago, who says he’s watching the market closely but has no immediate plans to start a condo tower. “That gives you a huge competitive advantage.”
Amid a slow recovery, most developers were content with low-rise projects of no more than a few dozen units.
Part of the problem is getting the loans necessary to build the tower. You would need to pre-sell a certain amount of the units before construction could begin. And how many homeowners looking today are willing to wait 3 or 4 more years to move in?
But that’s the beauty of all the new rental towers that have been built in the last few years. Some of them in River North and Old Town, in particular, are in prime locations. The buildings are already built. It doesn’t take much to convert them into condos.
Still, some are betting CMK may be the first to build a larger building.
The president of Chicago-based CMK Cos. is laying plans to build a 150-unit condo building near the Museum Campus on vacant land he acquired in May, according to a person familiar with the project.
“I think the key to that deal is that Colin is focused on the lower price point, which is a good place to be if you were to go to market with that number of units,” says Gregory Warsek, a senior vice president in the Chicago office of Associated Banc Corp., which is considering the project.
CMK’s 16-story structure would be located near 13th Street and South Wabash Avenue, on a parcel where Mr. Kinhke also is looking to finance a 268-unit rental tower.
Mr. Warsek declines further comment on the CMK project. In general, for a project of that size, the Green Bay, Wis.-based bank would require that half of the units be sold before construction starts, he says.
Mr. Kinhke has reason to be cautious: His best-known project, a 714-unit tower at 235 W. Van Buren St. in the Loop, was completed in 2009 but still has more than 200 unsold units. He did not return calls requesting comment.
Will a new condo tower be announced in 2013?
Or is it a near certainty in 2014?
Are you looking to buy new in the next few years?
Let’s get ready to condo [Crain’s Chicago Business, Micah Maidenberg, Aug 12, 2013]






