Market Conditions: September Sales at 12 Year Lows But Median Price Rises 1.4%
In September, home sales fell again as rates rose. It was the lowest number of sales since 2011.
From the Illinois Association of Realtors:
The city of Chicago saw a 11.3 percent year-over-year home sales decrease in September 2023 with 1,830 sales, down from 2,064 in September 2022.
The median price of a home in the city of Chicago in September 2023 was $324,450, up 1.4 percent compared to September 2022 when it was $320,000.
September sales for the last 17 years:
- 2007: 2172 sales
- 2008: 1816 sales
- 2009: 1918 sales
- 2010: 1403 sales
- 2011: 1498 sales
- 2012: 1845 sales
- 2013: 2395 sales
- 2014: 2242 sales
- 2015: 2414 sales
- 2016: 2398 sales
- 2017: 2355 sales
- 2018: 2040 sales
- 2019: 2006 sales
- 2020: 2635 sales
- 2021: 2684 sales
- 2022: 2064 sales
- 2023: 1830 sales
Median prices for the last 17 years:
- 2007: $267,750
- 2008: $268,600
- 2009: $225,000
- 2010: $180,000
- 2011: $190,000
- 2012: $188,900
- 2013: $230,000
- 2014: $249,000
- 2015: $250,000
- 2016: $260,000
- 2017: $275,000
- 2018: $285,000
- 2019: $292,250
- 2020: $322,350
- 2021: $320,000
- 2022: $320,000
- 2023: $324,450
“In September, closed sales decreased while days on market remained consistent. The combination of these points shows there is still buyer demand in the market,” said Drussy Hernandez, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and vice president of brokerage services for Coldwell Banker Realty in Chicago.
Both single family homes and condo sales fell double digits. Single family home sales fell 12.8% to 703 while condos declined 10.4% to 1127.
Statewide, inventory plunged again, falling 28.5% to 21,256 from 29,717. For comparison purposes, inventory was 33,676 in September 2021. Average days on the market was 24 days, down from 26 last year.
Chicago inventory also fell 27.9% to 5885 from 8163 last year. For comparison, it was 9478 properties in September 2021. Average days on the market was 30 days, which was the same as last year.
“Prices continued their usual seasonal decline from their peak in June for both Illinois and the Chicago area,” said Dr. Daniel McMillen, professor of real estate and associate dean for faculty affairs at the University of Illinois Chicago College of Business Administration.
“However, they remain much higher than at this time last year. Our forecasts indicate that prices will continue to decline somewhat over the next three months, while remaining higher than at this time last year. The number of sales remains low and is forecast to decline further over the next three months.”
The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage was 7.2% up from 7.07% in August. It was 6.11% in September 2022 and just 2.9% 2 years ago, in September 2021.
The story in Chicago remains the same. Sales are down big again but median price is holding near the highs.
Inventory remains near record low.
Will sales eventually hit the 2010 and 2011 lows over the next several months as those mortgage rates hit 8% or has the sales bottom already been put in?
Illinois home inventory and sales fell in September [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, by Bill Kozar, October 19, 2023]









