According to Crain’s, new construction condo and townhouse sales downtown for the first half of the year were at their lowest since records began in 1998.
According to Appraisal Research Counselors, there were just 261 sales in the first 6 months of the year down from 406 in the first half of 2010.
“This is probably the new norm,” says Appraisal Research Vice-President Gail Lissner.
The firm’s numbers reflect sales contracts, not closed sales. Appraisal Research also tracks closings, which totaled just 385 units in the first half of 2011, down from 1,116 a year earlier.
There is one bright spot in an otherwise gloomy market: Developers continue to convert condo buildings into apartments amid booming rental demand, reducing the once-large supply of unsold condos.
Since 2008, eight downtown projects that were built as condos have gone rental. Developers are now sitting on just 1,911 unsold units, down from 7,689 in second-quarter 2007, according to Appraisal Research. It is the lowest supply since 1997, when the firm began tracking unsold condo inventories.
Most of the sold units were in developments that slashed prices like The Silver Tower, 757 N. Orleans and 200 N. Dearborn in the Loop.
But what about all those unsold units in the Museum Park Towers buildings, The Legacy, 60 E. Monroe and Aqua?
Don’t expect a “deal” anytime soon.
Many buyers expect a deal whether developers are advertising them or not. Magellan Development Group, the developer of the Aqua tower near Millennium Park, gets about four or five offers a week, one or two that are “pretty credible,” the rest from “bottom feeders,” says David Carlins, president of the Chicago-based firm.
“We still have got a whole lot of people who are looking for an unbelievable bargain, and it’s out there, but it’s just not us,” he says.
Prices at Aqua, an 82-story tower at 225 N. Columbus Drive, range from $306,000 for a studio up to almost $2 million for a penthouse, according to Appraisal Research.
Buyers have closed on 158, or 60%, or the 262 condos in the tower, which also includes apartments and a hotel. Magellan isn’t feeling any pressure yet to cut prices; the project’s construction loan doesn’t mature until the end of 2013, Mr. Carlin says.
Yet considering how hard it is for buyers to obtain financing, Magellan has set up loan programs with two lenders, MetLife Bank and Alliant Credit Union, to finance purchases in the building. Mr. Carlins is also optimistic that sales will pick up when a nearby grocery store and restaurants, along with a new Radisson Blu hotel in the tower, open this fall.
Longer term, he believes rising apartment rents will draw more buyers into the market as they compare the cost of renting vs. owning. But before that happens, the lending market has to open up, and buyers have to be confident that condo prices won’t fall further, he says.
“The condos in my mind are around the corner,” he says. “It’s just a long corner.”
How long will renting remain in vogue downtown and the condo market remain dormant?
First half condo sales fall even further [Crain’s Chicago Business, Alby Gallun, Aug 16, 2011]