Crain’s checked in with Appraisal Research for an assessment on new construction downtown condo sales for the third quarter. It should be no surprise that the numbers aren’t great.
Downtown developers sold 111 condos and townhomes in the third quarter, down from 150 in the second quarter but up from 56 a year ago, according to a report by Appraisal Research Counselors, a Chicago-based consulting firm.
Given current sales figures, developers are on track to sell about 600 units in 2010 which is about the same as 2009 and 2008. Remember, at the height of the boom they were selling anywhere from 6,000 to 8,000 units a year.
Many of the downtown sales this year were due to closings in some of the upscale buildings like the Elysian, Walton on the Park and 10 E. Delaware. On the flip side, other sales were due to prices being slashed by as much as 30% in some buildings like SoNo.
“Right now, we’re just kind of glued in place,” says Appraisal Research Vice-President Gail Lissner. “We’re just not seeing a lot of movement.”
As some condo towers go rental (Crain’s points out that Astoria Tower in the South Loop may soon add another 200 rental units to the rental market) and there is virtually no new construction being started, inventories have really started to shrink.
Developers had 3,402 unsold units at the end of the quarter, down from 7,689 in third-quarter 2007, according to Appraisal Research.
Some developers, like CMK, have been given loan extensions in order to ride out the worst of it.
“There are fewer and fewer competitors every quarter,” says Colin Kihnke, president of CMK Development Corp., the Chicago-based developer of a 46-story tower at 235 W. Van Buren St.
Buyers have signed contracts for about 460, or 64%, of the building’s 714 condos and closed on roughly 40% of the units, he says. With about 250 condos left, CMK isn’t out of the woods yet, but it has plenty of time to get the job done. The project’s construction loan doesn’t come due until 2013, including extensions written into the loan agreement, Mr. Kihnke says.
In addition, 235 W. Van Buren offers lower-priced units that appeal to first-time buyers, the strongest segment of the market. Condos in the building start at $179,900 for a studio and run up to $1.1 million for a penthouse, with an average price of $319 a square foot, according to Appraisal Research.
Still, sales have been slow at the building, which has reported just 20 purchase contracts in the past year. And the tight lending climate remains an obstacle, even though mortgage rates are near historic lows.
“You’ve got to work with a purchaser who may need to pay off a credit-card bill or pay off a car (to qualify for a loan) — crazy stuff,” Mr. Kihnke says. “It’s a different world.”
With inventories shrinking, will we soon see demand really start to pick up for new product? If so- when?
2012?
2013?
2014?
Downtown condo sales ‘kind of glued in place’ [Crain’s Chicago Business, Alby Gallun, November 22, 2010]