First American CoreLogic just released its first quarter report on negative equity in the United States.
The Chicago market has more homeowners underwater than you would think (and I don’t know if this means Chicago, the city, or the entire Chicagoland area.)
The metropolitan markets with the most underwater home owners in first quarter were:
- Phoenix: 550,000
- Riverside: 463,000
- Los Angeles: 406,000
- Atlanta: 399,000
- Chicago: 365,000
Report: 11.2 million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q1 [Calculated Risk Blog, May 10, 2010]
Additionally, according to the Chicago Tribune, Zillow is also releasing a report on negative equity with these findings on Chicago:
Within Chicago, 62 percent of homes sold for a gain in March, or 57 percent of single-family homes and almost 70 percent of condos.
Translation: 43% of single family home owners sold for a loss and 30% of condo owners sold for a loss in Chicago in March.
In the entire Chicago area, 40% of all homes in March also sold for less than the owner had paid.
Zillow: 40% of home sellers took a loss in March [Chicago Tribune, Mary Ellen Podmolik, May 10, 2010]
Also, John Paulson, the hedge fund manager who made a now famous, and lucrative, bet against the housing market a few years ago when he believed a housing crash was coming, is now saying every American should buy real estate.
Paulson is now bullish on the U.S. economy, expecting a V-shaped recovery as the housing market rallies.
On Monday, Paulson said U.S. house prices could climb 3% to 5% in 2010. Next year, prices could rally 8% to 12%, he added.
Home ownership in the U.S. is the most affordable it’s been in 50 years, Paulson also said. Based on median home prices and the cost of mortgages versus median household income, houses are roughly 60% more affordable than they were at the peak of the housing bubble in 2005, Paulson said.
“My advice to all Americans — if you don’t own a home today now’s the time to buy one,” Paulson said. “If you already own one, now’s the time to buy another one. If you already own two, it’s time to help your children buy a home.”
A solid housing market should “cement” stronger-than-expected economic growth, Paulson said, forecasting GDP to expand 4% to 5% in 2011.
European debt market ‘managable’, Paulson says [Marketwatch.com, May 10, 2010]