Market Conditions: November Sales up 69.9% in Chicago; Prices Decline 3.4% YOY
With the original first time home buyers tax credit set to expire at the end of November 2009, it isn’t surprising that sales soared ahead of the deadline (even though the deadline was then extended to April).
Sales were up strongly in Chicago, the Chicagoland 9-county area and statewide compared with a year ago but prices continued to decline.
In the city of Chicago, November total home sales (single-family and condominiums) were up 69.9 percent to 1,859 sales compared to 1,094 homes sold in November 2008. The city of Chicago median price in November 2009 was $215,000 down 3.4 percent compared to $222,500 a year ago in November 2008.
“November’s city transactions point to an increase in the number of units sold over the same period in 2008. The first-time homebuyer tax credit has provided an excellent incentive to help buyers off the fence,” said Genie Birch, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and a broker associate with Koenig & Strey GMAC, Chicago. “We are monitoring the movement of sales as the year closes, continuing to see distressed properties absorbed and the correction of the Chicago marketplace continue.”
The city of Chicago market appears to be struggling to recover more than some other parts of the state. The average price in Chicago is much higher than the statewide average which stood at $155,000 in November 2009.
“Forecasts for December, January and February indicate sales increasing robustly in Illinois and Chicago on an annual basis, but median price movements in Illinois hold the potential for a mild recovery that is not, as yet, evident in the Chicago market,” said Dr. Geoffrey J.D. Hewings, director of the Regional Economics Applications Laboratory (REAL) of the University of Illinois.
Adds Hewings: “The economic news has been dominated by the national job numbers; the national economy shed only 11,000 jobs in November, a dramatic decrease in the rate of job decline over the first part of the year and even over the prior three months when job losses had averaged 135,000 a month. Illinois has recorded 23 months of job declines since the recession began in December 2007.”
Despite the big numbers in November, sales year to date are still much lower than 2008.
In the city of Chicago year-to-date January through November 2009 sales were down 10.4 percent to 17,633 homes sold compared to 19,681 homes sold in the same 11-month period in 2008. The year-to-date median price was down 22.9 percent to $225,000 compared to $291,800 in 2008.
Illinois Home Sales Record Major Gains in November from a Year Ago; Sales Up 64.0% Statewide and 71.6% in Chicago Region [Illinois Association of Realtors Press Release, Dec 22, 2009]