Given everything going on in the financial markets, it’s not surprising that fourth quarter condo sales in the downtown corridor crashed.
Crain’s reports that quarterly sales were actually a negative 253 sales as units that were formerly under contract fell out of contract and new sales stalled.
For the entire year, only 644 new construction condos sold. That is down from the peak in 2005 when 8,162 condos sold. It is also 83% lower than 2007 when 3,724 units sold.
Another 4,734 condos are expected to be completed this year downtown. This is on top of thousands of other condos that are completed but haven’t yet sold.
Amid the turmoil in the financial markets, “people were just frozen in their tracks” in the fourth quarter, says Appraisal Research Vice-president Gail Lissner.
Compounding the problem, the supply of new condos continues to grow as developers finish projects started during the boom. Downtown developers will complete 4,734 condos this year, 42% of which remain unsold, according to Appraisal Research. The supply of unsold condos is especially high in South Loop and West Loop developments.
“There’s going to be much more intense pressure in those developments due to the lower number of units under contract,” Ms. Lissner said at a Tuesday luncheon presentation.
Unable to pay back construction loans, many developers have already asked for and received loan extensions from their lenders. That number is likely to grow, but lenders eventually will be forced to foreclose if sales don’t pick up.
The good news is that many developers, unable to get financing, have scrapped plans for new projects. That means supply will taper off next year, a key step toward bringing the market back into balance. Downtown developers will complete just 620 units in 2010 and 86 in 2011.
“Thus, it is likely that there will be better absorption of unsold inventory in 2010, helping to sell out this overhang of unsold units,” the Appraisal Research report says.
Downtown condo sales show net loss in 4Q [Crain’s Chicago Business, Alby Gallun, Feb 17, 2009]