Market Conditions: Chicago Inventory Continues to Sink, Falling 30.9% YOY in August 2023
The Illinois Association of Realtors is out with the August data. August was before the rates spiked to 20+ year highs but rates were still over 7% in the month.
It was still the lowest August since 2011, which was during the housing bust.
From the IAR:
The city of Chicago saw a 7 percent year-over-year home sales decrease in August 2023 with 2,189 sales, down from 2,354 in August 2022.
The median price of a home in the city of Chicago in August 2023 was $330,000, up 4.8 percent compared to August 2022 when it was $315,000.
August sales since 2007:
- August 2007: 2923 sales
- August 2008: 2078 sales
- August 2009: 1927 sales
- August 2010: 1486 sales
- August 2011: 1787 sales
- August 2012: 2209 sales
- August 2013: 2850 sales
- August 2014: 2414 sales
- August 2015: 2701 sales
- August 2016: 2844 sales
- August 2017: 2791 sales
- August 2018: 2754 sales
- August 2019: 2601 sales
- August 2020: 2870 sales
- August 2021: 2919 sales
- August 2022: 2354 sales
- August 2023: 2189 sales
August Median Sales Price
- August 2007: $305,000
- August 2008: $297,500
- August 2009: $229,900
- August 2010: $200,000
- August 2011: $192,500
- August 2012: $200,000
- August 2013: $245,000
- August 2014: $269,500
- August 2015: $271,000
- August 2016: $271,000
- August 2017: $284,000
- August 2018: $280,000
- August 2019: $289,900
- August 2020: $335,000
- August 2021: $335,000
- August 2022: $315,000
- August 2023: $330,000
“In August, we saw signs that demand is increasing in the city, with only a slight decline in closed sales and a slight increase in median sale price,” said Sarah Ware, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and principal and designated managing broker for Ware Realty Group in Chicago.
Statewide, the number of days on the market was unchanged from last year at 23 days. In Chicago, the days on the market fell 1 day to 27 from 28 days last year.
Inventory continues to plunge statewide and in the city.
Statewide Inventory:
- 34,083 in August 2021
- 29,084 in August 2022
- 20,082 in August 2023 (down 31% year-over-year)
Chicago Inventory:
- 9,231 in August 2021
- 7,999 in August 2022
- 5,530 in August 2023 (down 30.9% year-over-year)
“Although prices declined in August in both Illinois and the Chicago area, they remain much higher than at this time last year,” said Dr. Daniel McMillen, head of the Stuart Handler Department of Real Estate (SHDRE) at the University of Illinois at Chicago College of Business Administration.
“Our forecasts indicate that prices will continue to their usual seasonal decline over the next three months, while remaining higher than at this time last year. The number of sales remains low and is forecast to decline further over the next three months.”
The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage was 7.07% in the month up from 6.84% in July 2023 and up from 5.22% in August 2022. Remember when we thought 5.2% was “high”?
Inventory both in Chicago, and statewide, has been dropping for 2 years.
Is the low inventory the only thing keeping prices elevated? And when will it end?
Illinois home sales dipped while median prices rose in August [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, by Bill Kozar, September 21, 2023]