Market Conditions: October Sales Decline YOY But Still 2nd Hottest Since 2006
The October sales numbers are out from the Illinois Association of Realtors and the market continues to remain strong, with the second highest October sales since 2006.
In the city of Chicago, home sales (single-family and condominiums) in October 2021 totaled 2,417 homes sold, down 5.9 percent from October 2020 sales of 2,568 homes.
The median price of a home in Chicago in October 2021 was $312,000, down 1.0 percent compared to October 2020 when it was $315,000.
Thanks to G for all the data on October sales going back to 1997:
October Chicago sfh/condo/th sales and median
- 1997 1,731 $129,900
- 1998 1,855 $138,000
- 1999 1,978 $159,500
- 2000 2,106 $174,710
- 2001 2,177 $200,000
- 2002 2,503 $215,000
- 2003 2,996 $236,000
- 2004 2,651 $241,000
- 2005 2,846 $268,500
- 2006 2,630 $278,000
- 2007 2,007 $285,000
- 2008 1,564 $261,000
- 2009 2,068 $215,000
- 2010 1,225 $183,000
- 2011 1,324 $162,000 (44% short/REO sales)
- 2012 2,009 $175,000
- 2013: 2,231 $218,500
- 2014: 2,128 $236,000
- 2015: 2,173 $240,000
- 2016: 2,046 $260,100
- 2017: 2,109 $260,000
- 2018: 2,108 $271,500
- 2019: 2,084 $275,000
- 2020: 2,568 $315,000
- 2021: 2,417 $312,000
“Real estate has always had an element of seasonality, and that’s what the data reflects from October: seasonality coming back into play after so much pent-up demand over the past year and a half,” said Antje Gehrken, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and president and designated managing broker of A.R.E. Partners. “The market remains relatively strong and healthy, even compared to before the pandemic, despite concerns about continued inventory strain.”
The average days on the market declined statewide to 28 days from 43 days last year.
While average days on the market in Chicago actually rose 2.9% to 35 days from 34 days last year.
Statewide, and in City of Chicago, inventory plunged year-over-year.
Statewide, home inventory fell 28.7% to 29,456 from 41,320 properties. In Chicago, it fell 25.1% to 8,315 from 11,099 properties last year. In October 2019, it was 10,138 properties.
The Chicago sales mix continued to favor condos. Of total sales, 1,426 were condos and 991 were single family homes.
Single family homes fell 12.8% year-over-year and, for the first time in a year, condo sales also fell year-over-year, down 0.3%.
The average 30 year mortgage rose to 3.07% in the month, up from 2.9% in September and also up from 2.83% last year.
Low inventory appears to be pressuring prices statewide.
“Again, this month the market exhibits positive growth in prices combined with a decline in the number of sales,” said Dr. Daniel McMillen, head of the Stuart Handler Department of Real Estate at the University of Illinois at Chicago College of Business Administration. “Surveys provide mixed evidence on consumer sentiment, with some indicating an increase this month in consumer confidence in the economy and others indicating a decrease. Prices are expected to continue to increase for the next three months while the number of sales is expected to decrease again.”
The winter has historically been the “slow” months for the housing market, except last year, in 2020, due to pandemic buying.
Will this be the second year in a row that there is no real seasonal slowdown in sales?
Illinois homes continue to sell quickly in October [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release by Bill Kozar, November 22, 2021]