Market Conditions: September Home Sales Fall 0.9% Versus Red Hot 2020
The Illinois Association of Realtors is out with the September sales data.
Sales declined year-over-year in Chicago, the Chicagoland area and in the state.
However, last year was the hottest September in the last 14 years.
In the city of Chicago, home sales (single-family and condominiums) in September 2021 totaled 2,611 homes sold, down 0.9 percent from September 2020 sales of 2,635 homes.
The median price of a home in Chicago in September 2021 was $320,000, down 0.7 percent compared to September 2020 when it was $322,350.
September sales for the last 15 years:
- 2007: 2172 sales
- 2008: 1816 sales
- 2009: 1918 sales
- 2010: 1403 sales
- 2011: 1498 sales
- 2012: 1845 sales
- 2013: 2395 sales
- 2014: 2242 sales
- 2015: 2414 sales
- 2016: 2398 sales
- 2017: 2355 sales
- 2018: 2040 sales
- 2019: 2006 sales
- 2020: 2635 sales
- 2021: 2611 sales
Median prices for the last 15 years:
- 2007: $267,750
- 2008: $268,600
- 2009: $225,000
- 2010: $180,000
- 2011: $190,000
- 2012: $188,900
- 2013: $230,000
- 2014: $249,000
- 2015: $250,000
- 2016: $260,000
- 2017: $275,000
- 2018: $285,000
- 2019: $292,250
- 2020: $322,350
- 2021: $320,000
But as Gary Lucido often states in the comments on this blog, the IAR will adjust the sales number next year.
For instance, last year’s September sales, the hottest in 14 years, were 2570 in the press release. But the IAR has gotten in the “final” numbers and now it’s 2635 sales.
Seems likely that September 2021 will be adjusted higher than 2020’s numbers when they get the “final” numbers.
Therefore, it’s likely this year was the hottest September in 15 years in Chicago.
Chicago’s sales were driven, again, by the hot condo market where sales were up 7.7% to 1645 sales. Single family home sales fell 12.7% to 966.
Statewide sales were down 6.7% and in the 9-country Chicagoland area, they fell 7.8%.
Statewide inventory declined 27.8% to 31,049 from 43,025. Homes sold in an average of 25 days, down from 45 days last year.
In Chicago, inventory fell 22.1% to 8,821 from 11,327 properties. Homes sold in an average of 32 days, down from 34 days in 2020.
“While fewer when compared to last year, the homes that were on the market last month were snapped up quickly,” says Ezekiel “Zeke” Morris, President of Illinois REALTORS® and designated managing broker of EXIT Strategy Realty/EMA Management on the South Side of Chicago. “Sellers throughout the state continue to benefit from multiple offer situations. It will remain a seller’s market until median prices level out more.”
The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage was 2.9%, up from 2.84% in August. It was also just slightly higher than a year ago, when it was 2.89%.
“Again, this month the market exhibits positive growth in prices with a decline in the number of sales,” said Dr. Daniel McMillen, head of the Stuart Handler Department of Real Estate at the University of Illinois at Chicago College of Business Administration. “While high prices are beginning to deter buyers and surveys suggest that people are not currently optimistic about the economy, consumers continue to feel that it is a good time to sell a home. Prices are expected to continue to increase through the rest of the year while the number of sales is expected to decrease.”
Are high prices and lack of inventory going to cool the market?
Or will rising mortgage rates be the catalyst that puts a damper on the party?
Speed of Illinois home sales, inventory and median price trends continue in September [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, by Bill Kozar, October 21, 2021]