Market Conditions: December Inventory Falls Further as Sales Plunge 41.2%
The Illinois Association of Realtors is out with the December data. We already know that it was another slow month from Gary’s monthly updates.
From the Illinois Association of Realtors:
The city of Chicago saw a 41.2 percent year-over-year home sales decrease in December 2022 with 1,425 sales, down from 2,422 in December 2021. Annual home sales totaled 28,265, a 15.0 percent decrease compared to 33,246 in 2021.
The median price of a home in the city of Chicago in December 2022 was $288,000, down 8.1 percent compared to December 2021 when it was $313,500. The annual 2022 median price reached $335,000, the same as in 2021.
Reminder, last year was the highest number of sales since the housing boom year of 2005.
- December 2004: 3719 sales and median price of $267,000
- December 2005: 2847 sales and median price of $283,000
- December 2006: 2241 sales and median price of $279,000
- December 2007: 1629 sales and median price of $287,000
- December 2008: 1263 sales and median price of $235,000
- December 2009: 1820 sales and median price of $208,000 (34% short/REO sales)
- December 2010: 1475 sales and median price of $166,000 (43% short/REO sales)
- December 2011: 1536 sales and median price of $156,000 (44% short/REO sales)
- December 2012: 1806 sales and median price of $185,000 (39.7% short/REO sales- according to Gary Lucido’s data)
- December 2013: 2137 sales and median price of $210,000
- December 2014: 2020 sales and median price of $228,000
- December 2015: 2077 sales and median price of $242,000
- December 2016: 1974 sales and median price of $260,000
- December 2017: 2058 sales and median price of $265,500
- December 2018: 1708 sales and median price of $251,500
- December 2019: 1892 sales and median price of $276,000
- December 2020: 2267 sales and median price of $305,000
- December 2021: 2422 sales and median price of $313,500
- December 2022: 1425 sales and median price of $288,000
This was the lowest number of sales since the awful December of 2008 when millions were being laid off, the stock market was crashing and the economy was spiraling downward.
“In December, closed sales, inventory and median sales price decreased, likely because of a few factors: seasonality and inflation, combined with the hope that mortgage rates will taper off soon,” said Sarah Ware, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and principal and designated managing broker for Ware Realty Group in Chicago. “Buyers and sellers should approach their home pricing and offer strategies with this in mind.”
Statewide, inventory fell 9.7% to 20,671 from 22,896 in December 2021.
Meanwhile, Chicago saw a sharper inventory decline, falling 15.5% to 5,310 properties from 6,281 last year. The inventory remained at multi-year lows in December.
- December 2020: 8254
- December 2021: 6281
- December 2022: 5310
“Although the housing market in Illinois has slowed since its peak in June, the decline is largely due to the usual seasonality in house prices and sales,” said Dr. Daniel McMillen, head of the Stuart Handler Department of Real Estate (SHDRE) at the University of Illinois at Chicago College of Business Administration.
“However, the median home price and the number of sales are currently lower than at this time last year. The number of foreclosures has declined over the last year and is not high by historical standards. Although consumer sentiment has become more positive recently, there still is significant uncertainty about the outlook for the housing market. Our forecasts indicate that house prices and the number of sales will increase as the housing market picks up during spring.”
The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage came down to 6.36% from 6.81% in November. It was still over double that of last December, when it was 3.1%.
Chicago average time on the market stayed the same year-over-year at 38 days. It actually fell 15.2% statewide to 28 days from 33 days a year ago.
In Chicago both single family homes and condo sales were hit equally as hard. Single family home closings were down 41.4% year-over-year to 630 while condos fell 41% to 795.
There’s no doubt both buyers and sellers retreated to the sidelines in December. This is why inventory remains near record lows.
However, the market is showing some signs of life in January. Will December be the low in sales for this cycle?
Is the worst already behind the housing market?
Despite dip in December 2022, annual median price of Illinois homes rose as economy seesawed and inventory tightened [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, by Bill Kozar, January 20, 2023]









