Market Conditions: Inventory Dips to New Lows in October 2023 as Sales Fall 7.5%
Anyone who is out looking to buy a home in the Chicagoland area knows just how low the inventory is.
Meanwhile, prices continue to hold up even as sales declined again year-over-year in October. It was the lowest October for sales since 2011, which was during the housing bust.
From the Illinois Association of Realtors:
The city of Chicago saw a 7.5 percent year-over-year home sales decrease in October 2023 with 1,610 sales, down from 1,740 in October 2022.
The median price of a home in the city of Chicago in October 2023 was $320,000, the same as in October 2022 when it was $320,000.
Thanks to G for all the data on October sales going back to 1997:
October Chicago sfh/condo/th sales and median
- 1997 1,731 $129,900
- 1998 1,855 $138,000
- 1999 1,978 $159,500
- 2000 2,106 $174,710
- 2001 2,177 $200,000
- 2002 2,503 $215,000
- 2003 2,996 $236,000
- 2004 2,651 $241,000
- 2005 2,846 $268,500
- 2006 2,630 $278,000
- 2007 2,007 $285,000
- 2008 1,564 $261,000
- 2009 2,068 $215,000
- 2010 1,225 $183,000
- 2011 1,324 $162,000 (44% short/REO sales)
- 2012 2,009 $175,000
- 2013: 2,231 $218,500
- 2014: 2,128 $236,000
- 2015: 2,173 $240,000
- 2016: 2,046 $260,100
- 2017: 2,109 $260,000
- 2018: 2,108 $271,500
- 2019: 2,084 $275,000
- 2020: 2,568 $315,000
- 2021: 2,469 $313,000
- 2022: 1,740 $320,000
- 2023: 1,610 $320,000
“In October, median sales price remained steady and market time nominally decreased,” said Drussy Hernandez, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and vice president of brokerage services for Coldwell Banker Realty in Chicago. “This shows that, at the core of our market, there is a steady stream of people who need to buy and sellers who are motivated to sell. Inventory shortages continue to be one of the biggest challenges for buyers in the market.”
Statewide inventory plunged 25.5% to 21,287 from 28,564. By comparison, statewide inventory was 31,445 in October 2021.
In Chicago, inventory looked similarly challenged. Inventory fell 24% year-over-year to 5785 from 7609. It was at 8898 in October 2021.
Days on the market, in Chicago, fell 2 days to 32 from 34 last year and 35 days in 2021.
In Chicago sales, single family homes were down 4.4% to 695 while condos fell 9.7% to 915.
The average 30 year fixed rate mortgage was 7.62% up from 7.2% in September. Last year, in October 2022, the average was 6.9% and we all thought that was high.
“The number of sales continues to decline throughout Illinois while prices continue to increase,” said Dr. Daniel McMillen, professor of real estate and associate dean for faculty affairs at the University of Illinois Chicago College of Business Administration. “Our forecasts indicate that these trends will continue over the next three months throughout the state.”
Are high mortgage rates the problem in the Chicago housing market or is it the lack of inventory?
October home sales and inventory continue to fall in Illinois [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, by Bill Kozar, November 21, 2023]







