Over the weekend, the Chicago Tribune reported on the Chicago area housing market using CoreLogic’s data for over 200 zip codes.
As we’ve been chattering about the last few months, it appears that the Chicago housing market has taken a turn for the worse since the beginning of this year.
“The prospects are dim in the near and medium-term,” said Sam Khater, senior economist at CoreLogic. “The bigger factor is the state of the consumer. The shadow inventory (of distressed properties) will clear. The more fundamental question is the economic security of the consumer.”
With home affordability strong and 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage interest rates at 4.8 percent last week, it remains a buyer’s market, but a lot of consumers still have a bunker mentality, said John Carlson, branch manager of Coldwell Banker’s Downers Grove office.
“My office should be like a deli counter with people taking numbers,” Carlson said. ” I would say people are in a wait-and-see mode. I think there’s a recovery path here.”
In Homer Glen, Steve Brown is waiting for that one special buyer to emerge from his or her bunker. Brown tried to sell his custom-built home last fall, but the only offer he was received was for $370,000, more than $70,000 less than his listing price for the well-appointed home with its own private pond.
Now he’s trying again, dropping the price by $6,000, to $436,500. “People are starting to inquire again,” Brown said. “I know I can sell it easily if I reduce the price to $400,000. My gut reaction is we’ve hit bottom, but I’m not willing to give it away.”
The real estate agents around the Chicagoland area see some areas of hope but they’re still realistic.
Betty Cunningham, a real estate agent in Schaumburg, doesn’t feel any more positive about the market, despite having one listing that sold in two days. “I’ve got brand new listings in Schaumburg that are rehabbed and beautiful,” said Cunningham, a Coldwell Banker agent. “I can’t get a showing. They see the area and they see it’s going down.”
“I’m not seeing price increases but I am seeing stability on the lower end,” said Gary Christensen, an agent at N.W. Village Realty Inc. in Elk Grove Village, where price declines in the 60007 ZIP code have moderated since October and in February rose 1.76 percent, according to CoreLogic.
“If the home is nice, it does move if the seller isn’t greedy,” Christensen said. “If we can price it based on where the market is, we’re OK. If we have to price it because we need a (certain) number, those don’t move.”
Within the city of Chicago, the article specifically mentions the big 20% year over year price decline in zip code 60646 which includes the tony enclaves of Edgebrook and Sauganash.
But do you think your zip code is immune?
CoreLogic’s data is made from repeat sales of homes selling for between $10,000 and $10 million.
It does NOT include multifamily residential, new construction, non-arm’s length transactions, and those corporate owned properties sold at auction. It DOES include bank owned sales and short sales.
Here’s a smattering of some of the popular zip codes. Remember, the data is year-over-year price changes.
Lakeview (60657)
- February 2011: down 12.87%
- January 2011: down 9.35%
- December 2010: down 6.28%
- November 2010: down 6.81%
- October 2010: down 8.75%
Lakeview/Wrigleyville (60613)
- February 2011: down 13.15%
- January 2011: down 14.74%
- December 2010: down 13.44%
- November 2010: down 12.32%
- October 2010: down 11.94%
Roscoe Village/North Center (60618)
- February 2011: down 12.66%
- January 2011: down 10.98%
- December 2010: down 9.63%
- November 2010: down 8.46%
- October 2010: down 8.06%
Lincoln Park (60614)
- February 2011: down 6.11%
- January 2011: down 5.51%
- December 2010: down 1.16%
- November 2010: up 0.46%
- October 2010: up 0.28%
River North/Gold Coast/Streeterville (60610)
- February 2011: down 11.57%
- January 2011: down 9.87%
- December 2010: down 8.59%
- November 2010: down 7.32%
- October 2010: down 5.76%
Uptown/Andersonville (60640)
- February 2011: down 14.42%
- January 2011: down 9.94%
- December 2010: down 5.79%
- November 2010: down 5.11%
- October 2010: down 3.89%
Bucktown (60647)
- February 2011: down 11.79%
- January 2011: down 10.14%
- December 2010: down 7.66%
- November 2010: down 5.68%
- October 2010: down 5.08%
East Village (60622)
- February 2011: down 11.79%
- January 2011: down 10.14%
- December 2010: down 7.66%
- November 2010: down 7.55%
- October 2010: down 5.68%
South Loop (60616)
- February 2011: down 13.38%
- January 2011: down 11.72%
- December 2010: down 7.43%
- November 2010: down 6.23%
- October 2010: down 4.23%
If homebuying is psychological- what do these continued price declines mean for sales in the coming months?
By zip code: Little growth in home prices [Chicago Tribune, Mary Ellen Podmolik, Apr 24, 2011]