Market Conditions: Chicago Sales Plunge 18.9% in March on 16-Year Low in Inventory
The IAR is out with March data. The Chicago market still remains unbalanced. Inventory is at another low going back to 2008. As a result, sales fell again.
The city of Chicago saw an 18.9 percent year-over-year home sales decrease in March 2024 with 1,790 sales, down from 2,208 the year before. The median price of a home in the city of Chicago in March 2024 was $359,000, up 7.3 percent from March 2023 when it was $334,450.
Historic data courtesy of G:
City of Chicago condo/TH/SFH closed totals March
year/closed/median/% REO-Short Sales
Year Closed Median %REO/SS
1997 1,226 $126,875
1998 1,540 $137,003
1999 1,766 $152,125
2000 1,793 $167,500
2001 1,800 $195,000
2002 2,112 $210,000
2003 2,261 $225,000
2004 2,772 $244,950
2005 2,822 $271,125
2006 3,000 $275,862
2007 2,399 $285,000
2008 2,098 $300,000
2009 1,219 $217,000 37%
2010 1,860 $207,750 38%
2011 1,481 $163,763 49%
2012 1,630 $170,500 44%
2013 1,894 $187,500
2014 1,875 $235,000
2015 2,173 $260,000
2016 2,149 $269,000
2017 2,546 $295,000
2018 2,343 $310,500
2019 2,062 $290,700
2020 2,123 $319,950
2021 2,937 $345,000
2022 2,883 $345,000
2023 2,208 $334,450
2024 1,790 $359,000
Just a reminder that March 2021 was a new high in sales since 2006. But March sales are now looking more like the housing bust years of 2009-2012 but without the foreclosures and short sales.
“This March, closed sales dipped, though median sales price increased and days on market shortened – this is evident of a busy spring season in Chicago amid a pinched inventory market,” said Drussy Hernandez, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and vice president of brokerage services for Coldwell Banker Realty in Chicago.
Inventory is low in Chicago, and statewide.
Statewide inventory fell another 14.2% to 15,268 from 17,795 last year. Median price, statewide, was up 9.5% to $282,000 from $257,000.
“The number of sales rose significantly from February to March in both Illinois and the Chicago PMSA,” said Dr. Daniel McMillen, Professor of Real Estate and Associate Dean for Faculty Affairs at the University of Illinois-Chicago College of Business Administration.
“Prices also increased. However, the number of sales is lower than at this time last year. Consumer confidence has been high for several months now, and sales traditionally increase significantly in spring. The number of sales and prices should continue to increase steadily over the next several months.”
Inventory in Chicago fell 16.4%. Here’s what it looked like the last three years.
- March 2022: 6506
- March 2023: 5044
- March 2024: 4216
The average thirty year fixed rate mortgage was up month-over-month in March to 6.82% from 6.78% in February. It was also higher than March 2023 when it was 6.54%.
When will inventory finally hit bottom?
And will that bottom provide a boost to home sales?
Shrinking inventory again stymies Illinois home sales, this time during March [Illinois Association of Realtors, Press Release, by Stephanie Sievers, April 19, 2024]