Market Conditions: Chicago Sales Up 1.6% in December 2023: Have Sales Bottomed?
The Illinois Association of Realtors is out with the December 2023 data. Inventory remained near record lows but the year-over-year sales declines appear to be easing as sales were up in December.
The city of Chicago saw a 1.6 percent year-over-year home sales increase in December 2023 with 1,470 sales, up from 1,447 in December 2022. The median price of a home in the city of Chicago in December 2023 was $310,000, up 7.8 percent in December 2022 when it was $287,500.
Just 2 years ago, in 2021, December sales were the highest since 2005, one of the housing boom years. But that was before the Fed started raising interest rates.
- December 2004: 3719 sales and median price of $267,000
- December 2005: 2847 sales and median price of $283,000
- December 2006: 2241 sales and median price of $279,000
- December 2007: 1629 sales and median price of $287,000
- December 2008: 1263 sales and median price of $235,000
- December 2009: 1820 sales and median price of $208,000 (34% short/REO sales)
- December 2010: 1475 sales and median price of $166,000 (43% short/REO sales)
- December 2011: 1536 sales and median price of $156,000 (44% short/REO sales)
- December 2012: 1806 sales and median price of $185,000 (39.7% short/REO sales- according to Gary Lucido’s data)
- December 2013: 2137 sales and median price of $210,000
- December 2014: 2020 sales and median price of $228,000
- December 2015: 2077 sales and median price of $242,000
- December 2016: 1974 sales and median price of $260,000
- December 2017: 2058 sales and median price of $265,500
- December 2018: 1708 sales and median price of $251,500
- December 2019: 1892 sales and median price of $276,000
- December 2020: 2267 sales and median price of $305,000
- December 2021: 2422 sales and median price of $313,500
- December 2022: 1425 sales and median price of $288,000
- December 2023: 1470 sales and median price of $310,000
Annual home sales in Chicago fell 20.9% in 2023 to 22,400 from 28,306 properties.
“Although the housing market is continuing its trend of low sales and relatively high prices, our forecast is that sales will increase over the next three months,” said Dr. Daniel McMillen, professor of real estate and associate dean for faculty affairs at the University of Illinois-Chicago College of Business Administration. “Consumer confidence has increased significantly as interest rates and the rate of inflation have declined.”
Inventory statewide, and in Chicago, continued to decline.
Statewide, inventory dropped again, by 22.7% to 17,291 properties from 22,369 properties in 2022. Annual closed sales also dropped by 18.3% to 132,120 from 161,695 in 2022. You can’t buy what isn’t for sale.
In Chicago, inventory declined 27.3% to 4,171 properties from 5,739 properties last year. The decline has been dramatic over the last 4 years.
- December 2020: 8,254
- December 2021: 6,281
- December 2022: 5,739
- December 2023: 4,171
Days on the market in Chicago fell 12.8% to 34 days from 39 days a year ago.
“Steady closed sales and an increase in median sales price in December shows a commitment from buyers to purchase,” said Drussy Hernandez, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and vice president of brokerage services for Coldwell Banker Realty in Chicago. “With the anticipation of lower interest rates, we hope to see this increased activity continue into 2024.”
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.82% in December 2023, down from 7.44% in November 2023 but up from 6.36% in the prior year.
With inventory still on the decline, and even in January, it remains near record lows, what will happen with the spring market?
Will there be bidding wars on attractive properties simply due to low inventory? Or will buyers sit it out this spring?
Annual and December home sales in Illinois go down as inventory remains meager [Illinois Association of Realtors Press Release, by Bill Kozar, January 19, 2024]